Week 10 spotlight
Game of the Week
The model is practically flipping a coin. The group chat will not be so neutral.
246.1 combined projected points. Picked for a close contest and scoring potential.
The league, on the record
The receipts live here.
Big wins. Bad benches. Trades that deserve a group chat hearing.
12Teams in the league
3 / 3Seasons cached
41Scoring weeks saved
4Newsletter issues
Next week’s must-watch games
Week 10 · The matchups worth keeping an eye on.
Week 10 spotlight
Biggest Playoff Implications
One result. Two playoff paths. A combined 76.8-percentage-point swing in playoff chances.
balls2thewalls2
2-6-0 record
122.9projected points
49.8% win chance
- Playoffs with a win
- 41.2%
- Playoffs with a loss
- 7.7%
wcisco
3-5-0 record
123.1projected points
50.2% win chance
- Playoffs with a win
- 80.3%
- Playoffs with a loss
- 37.0%
Largest combined win-versus-loss change in the two teams’ playoff chances. Both cards can feature the same game.
Score and win forecasts use the saved Week 10 predictions, trained through Week 8. Records and playoff scenarios use completed results through Week 8. Scoring-history estimates; lineup changes and NFL byes are not modeled. Conditional playoff samples have additional uncertainty.
This week's main characters
Same league. Very different Tuesdays.
Team of the WeekWeek 8
Afghan National Team
Managed by bjacks01
153.08W
vs. City Wok Rions · 140.76 points
The scoreboard has spoken. The group chat may now submit its excuses.
5-3-0Season record
#4Record / PF rank
12.32Win margin
68.48Bench points
180.88Snapshot ceiling
27.80Possible bench gain
| QB | Caleb Williams | 13.98 |
| RB | Jahmyr Gibbs | 24.80 |
| RB | Jonathan Taylor | 6.70 |
| WR | Puka Nacua | 25.00 |
| WR | Tee Higgins | 37.50 |
| TE | Colston Loveland | 11.50 |
| FLEX | Javonte Williams | 6.70 |
| FLEX | Jaylen Waddle | 14.90 |
| K | Spencer Shrader | 1.00 |
| DEF | Los Angeles Rams | 11.00 |
Best starter: Tee Higgins (37.50)
Worst starter: Spencer Shrader (1.00)
Biggest potential swap: Adonai Mitchell for Javonte Williams, +20.50 points. Eligibility at kickoff is unverified.
Snapshot ceiling; historical taxi/IR status and kickoff locks are not available. Bench totals include all nonstarters in the snapshot.
Full week recap ↗Shitter of the WeekWeek 8
MauiHowie
Managed by MauiHowie
90.34L
vs. SuckMyPresticles · 119.86 points
That lineup brought a spoon to a points fight. The bench has requested an independent investigation.
6-2-0Season record
#3Record / PF rank
-29.52Win margin
30.18Bench points
108.48Snapshot ceiling
18.14Possible bench gain
| QB | Jared Goff | 10.04 |
| RB | D'Andre Swift | 27.90 |
| RB | Kenneth Walker III | 12.40 |
| WR | Kalif Raymond | 7.30 |
| WR | Chris Bell | 6.90 |
| TE | Kyle Pitts Sr. | 2.60 |
| FLEX | Saquon Barkley | 12.40 |
| FLEX | Roschon Johnson | 3.80 |
| K | Jake Bates | 6.00 |
| DEF | Kansas City Chiefs | 1.00 |
Best starter: D'Andre Swift (27.90)
Worst starter: Kansas City Chiefs (1.00)
Biggest potential swap: Kirk Cousins for Jared Goff, +18.14 points. Eligibility at kickoff is unverified.
Snapshot ceiling; historical taxi/IR status and kickoff locks are not available. Bench totals include all nonstarters in the snapshot.
Full week recap ↗The power board
Editorial math. Commissioner seeding sold separately.
| Rank | Team | Power | Points / week | Last 3 | Weeks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abominable Snowmen | 93.41 | 158.81 | 143.59 | 8 |
| 2 | Afghan National Team | 90.23 | 146.00 | 145.99 | 8 |
| 3 | MauiHowie | 74.09 | 133.28 | 123.19 | 8 |
| 4 | The Dirtiest | 67.73 | 131.50 | 130.27 | 8 |
| 5 | SuckMyPresticles | 64.32 | 132.64 | 116.05 | 8 |
| 6 | wcisco | 42.50 | 125.23 | 113.69 | 8 |
| 7 | Killen Kehillah | 40.45 | 128.13 | 110.89 | 8 |
| 8 | Newmen | 35.45 | 121.80 | 113.45 | 8 |
| 9 | landanss | 31.36 | 118.41 | 115.57 | 8 |
| 10 | balls2thewalls2 | 27.05 | 119.46 | 111.54 | 8 |
| 11 | City Wok Rions | 24.55 | 104.77 | 117.17 | 8 |
| 12 | Cam Newtons fantasty | 8.86 | 107.86 | 108.17 | 8 |
See the power formula. Byes and unpaired entries are excluded.